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Access to Surgery and Outcomes for Papillary Thyroid Cancer Following the 2015 American Thyroid Association Guideline Changes
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Access to Surgery and Outcomes for Papillary Thyroid Cancer Following the 2015 American Thyroid Association Guideline Changes

Laura M Cogua, Connor J Tupper, Peter T Silberstein, Kathryn E Coan and Ameya A Jategaonkar
The American surgeon, p.31348261455092
05/21/2026
PMID: 42169488

Abstract

lobectomy thyroidectomy surgical trends papillary thyroid cancer Antarctica guideline changes
BackgroundThe extent of surgical treatment for intermediate-sized (1.0-4.0 cm) papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) has been widely debated. This study evaluates the impact of the 2015 ATA guidelines on the surgical treatment trends of intermediate-sized PTC tumors.MethodsUsing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, patients with intermediate-sized PTC tumors were separated into pre-ATA guideline changes (2000-2015) or post-ATA changes (2016-2020) groupings. Lobectomy or total thyroidectomy usage was compared with logistic regression analyses.ResultsThe rate of lobectomy increased from a mean usage rate of 10.0% pre-ATA updates to 18.6% post-guideline changes ( < 0.001). Logistic regression showed the rate of thyroidectomy decreased post-ATA changes ( < 0.001, odds ratio (OR) = 0.607). Additionally, total thyroidectomy was associated with improved survival ( < 0001, HR = 0.624) and); tumors sized 2.1 cm-3.0 cm ( < 0001, HR = 1.824) and 3.1 cm-4.0 cm ( < 0001, HR = 2.927) were associated with worse survival.ConclusionsAfter the 2015 ATA guideline changes there has been a significant increase in the rate of lobectomy for intermediate-sized PTC tumors occurred after the 2015 ATA guideline changes, reflecting the guidelines supporting less aggressive surgical management in low-risk cases.

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