Abstract
Abstract only
5534
Purpose: A number of patients with advanced/recurrent cervical cancer do not respond to cisplatin-based chemotherapy. A pool analysis of three published phase III GOG studies was undertaken to identify the predictive factors and develop a model predictive of (non-) response to chemotherapy. Methods: The study population consisted of patients who received single-agent cisplatin or a cisplatin-containing combination in GOG protocols 110, 169 and 179. Prognostic variables (age, race, performance status, stage, histology, grade, disease site, prior chemotherapy—with primary radiation, time to recurrence, single-agent versus combination) were analyzed and multivariate analysis was conducted to identify factors independently predictive of response and survival. These analyses were used to establish a predictive model. Results: 816 patients were evaluable for response. In addition to single-agent treatment, multivariate analysis identified six factors (age, African-American, PS > 0, pelvic disease, prior radiosensitizer, recurrence ≤ one year) independently predictive of poor response. Those factors, but not age and African-American, were also independently associated with increased risk of death. 428 patients treated with a cisplatin- containing combination were classified into three risk groups based on the total number of risk factors (low risk: 0–1 factor; mid risk: 2–3 factors; high risk: 4–5 factors). Patients with 4–5 of risk factors were predicted to have a treatment response of only 13% (observed 10%), and median progression-free and overall survival of PFS of 2.8 months and 5.5 months, respectively. This subgroup of patients consist ∼14% of the target population in clinical practice. The predictive model was externally validated using GOG protocol 149 data that were not used for model development and further supported the predictive accuracy. Conclusions: High risk patients should be directed to non-cisplatin chemotherapy or investigational trials.
No significant financial relationships to disclose.