Abstract
Herein, we characterized the percentage of tacrolimus to the combined sirolimus and tacrolimus trough levels (tacrolimus %) observed during islet transplant-associated immune suppression therapy with post-transplant skin cancer. Although trough levels of tacrolimus and sirolimus were not different (P = 0.79, 0.73, respectively), high tacrolimus % resulted in a 1.32-fold increase in skin cancer odds when adjusting for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and use of mycopheonlate mofetil (MMF; p = 0.039). Skin cancer patients were likely to have been older but not differ significantly (mean difference 12 years, P = 0.056), but age was significantly associated with a 1.22-fold increase in adjusted skin cancer odds (P = 0.046). BMI was inversely associated with skin cancer, with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 0.40 (P = 0.022). High tacrolimus % (>35) resulted in a 4.6-fold increase in skin cancer frequency, whereas sirolimus above 75% of the combined therapy led to a 5.2-fold increase in islet graft dysfunction (IGD) events/year. By calculating the maximum safe exposure (MSE) to tacrolimus % according to patient age and BMI, we found that cumulative months spent above MSE was predictive of skin cancer (1.20-fold increase, P = 0.003). Individuals exceeding the MSE for 1 year were 9.2 times more likely to develop skin cancer (P = 0.008). Results suggest that strategies targeting immunosuppression ratios based on age and BMI may minimize cancer risk while improving graft survival and function. © The Author(s) 2025.